Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 8.020073 9.031885 10.084287 11.257478 12.525629 13.852006 15.341038
2024-10-06 6.787431 8.273150 9.902951 11.810455 13.968539 16.321577 19.068053
2024-10-13 5.972105 7.719841 9.712833 12.126731 14.943996 18.101636 21.881114
2024-10-20 5.077013 6.938314 9.138862 11.888278 15.186673 18.972917 23.602697
2024-10-27 4.233318 6.114984 8.419782 11.386254 15.037768 19.322114 24.662871
2024-11-03 3.841616 5.809603 8.290759 11.560743 15.667635 20.568091 26.766781
2024-11-10 3.511952 5.547320 8.183806 11.734929 16.276739 21.778104 28.827090
2024-11-17 3.106179 5.141680 7.855227 11.593962 16.465725 22.457102 30.233592
2024-11-24 2.818071 4.871000 7.680440 11.630612 16.863157 23.383886 31.941998
2024-12-01 2.537970 4.584909 7.461122 11.587226 17.141187 24.151356 33.450104
2024-12-08 2.300386 4.339328 7.278403 11.575920 17.448225 24.948424 34.994804
2024-12-15 2.261349 4.392985 7.518932 12.147931 18.535887 26.757726 37.840430
2024-12-22 2.066538 4.189791 7.381338 12.193112 18.925850 27.684794 39.594961
2024-12-29 2.030741 4.240228 7.617819 12.771958 20.050505 29.586754 42.628350
2025-01-05 1.935840 4.183375 7.686713 13.107037 20.841799 31.056773 45.116411
2025-01-12 1.709158 3.881431 7.362875 12.854802 20.806218 31.423121 46.164713
2025-01-19 1.445921 3.486868 6.867900 12.323612 20.355613 31.214966 46.443438
2025-01-26 1.356216 3.398800 6.853984 12.508280 20.918301 32.375388 48.538478
2025-02-02 1.273608 3.316017 6.842487 12.692584 21.479780 33.537673 50.645164
2025-02-09 1.137374 3.114932 6.622200 12.543431 21.549634 34.021784 51.843838
2025-02-16 1.045527 2.992654 6.526573 12.582213 21.890180 34.878890 53.549111
2025-02-23 0.948054 2.847818 6.382635 12.536304 22.100107 35.552523 55.008375
2025-03-02 0.864146 2.722261 6.264210 12.524340 22.356132 36.289566 56.557311